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PROTOTYPE — MOCK DATAFigures are generated fixtures derived from the registry. Not ACF actuals.
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CAMPAIGN · CLOSED · EVALUATED

Operations throughput, Nov–Jan

Operations Department·Head of Operations Department·2025-11-012026-01-31
THE HYPOTHESIS, AS WRITTEN BEFORE THE WINDOW OPENED

Re-sequencing the disbursement queue should raise same-day completion without raising double disbursements.

Recorded 2025-10-20, before the window opened on 2025-11-01. A hypothesis written afterwards is a description, and the difference matters when the result is read.

GOAL MET

The window mean meets the goal, and no declared guard moved adversely.

Campaign window 2025-11-012026-01-31 against a baseline of the same length immediately before it, 2025-08-012025-10-31. The baseline is not chosen — it is derived from the window, so it cannot be picked after the result is known.

WHAT MOVED — THE GOAL METRIC AND EVERY DECLARED GUARD, AT EQUAL WEIGHT (R-G-17)
METRICBASELINE MEANWINDOW MEANCHANGEGOAL
Maker/checker SLA adherence
OP-02 · higher is better
45.2%
3 pts
48.0%
3 pts
+2.86pp
improved
47.5%
Double-disbursement incidents
OP-09 · lower is better · guard
4,210.1
3 pts
4,181.6
3 pts
-28.44
improved
WHAT ELSE COULD EXPLAIN THIS
  • 1 other campaign ran over part of this window: Q1 approval-rate push.
  • OP-02 was already moving in this direction BEFORE the campaign began — the baseline itself improved on the period before it. Part of what you are reading is a trend the campaign did not start.
  • The window mean is an average of 3 points. One unusual month moves it materially.
  • A movement that coincides with a campaign is not a movement caused by it. This platform reports the coincidence and does not attribute it — attribution needs a control group, and there is not one.
WHAT THIS CAMPAIGN DID NOT CHANGE

The goal of 47.5 is the campaign’s, not the registry’s. OP-02’s target is still whatever the registry says it is, its threshold is unchanged, and closing this campaign wrote nothing to either. R-G-16.