FPD5+ by vintageCR-01
Nothing open.
Value 4.56 against threshold 4.
Head of Credit Risk & Portfolio Management: Jan-26 cohort. Tightening CD-Mobi cut-off from 1 Oct.
Is the book we are writing now worse than last year’s?
How much of this is measured: Curve SHAPE between the published points is modelled, not measured — ACF publishes peaks and 12M averages, not a full MOB series. The DWH fact must be built at cohort × channel × scheme × month-on-book or this chart cannot be produced for real (03 §6).
- Formula
- FPD5+ balance ÷ vintage disbursed
- Unit / direction
- pct · lower better
- Source system
- DWH
- Refresh
- daily_t1
- Target
- ≤ 4% (NE pilot)
- Target status
- From an ACF document
- Baseline in context/
- 12M 2.71%; Jan-26 cohort 4.56%; CD-Mobi 8.67%
Both proposed by Ikigai and awaiting ACF confirmation (DEC-02).
- Head of Credit Riskperiod 2026-09 · 22 Sep 2026
NPL 21.0% at 30-Jun-2026 is dilution, not recovery: the book grew faster than the bad debt. The guard metric (gross NPL balance) is the honest read and it has not improved.
Commentary is attached to the metric and period, not to a slide. It survives the month — which is what makes a variance reviewable at the next meeting instead of re-argued. Prototype — read-only fixtures; at fullstack this is the COMMENT table with author identity from AD.